Week 14 non-eagle rooting guide
Over the past few seasons, Philadelphia Eagles fans have generally rooted for their own team and kept tabs on the rest of the NFC, with an emphasis on NFC East. They will still do so in 2021, but there are even more peripheral rooting interests for Birds fans this season as they have 2022 draft picks from other teams.
And so, each week we’ll be featuring a rooting guide for non-Eagles games on the NFL schedule, and yes, I’m aware that most of the stuff below is obvious. You can also check out the latest Week 14 odds and read all of my picks here.
Let’s start this week with the Eagles’ playoff prospects.
The NFC Is
â¢ cowboys in Washington: The Cowboys lead the Eagles in the NFC East by 2.5 games. Washington leads the Eagles in the wildcard race by 0.5 games.
If you play with the projection model on fivethrityeight.com, a loss for the Cowboys would double the Eagles’ chances of winning the division, from four percent to eight percent. However, that would reduce their chances of qualifying for the playoffs, from 35% to 31%.
A Cowboys win would end any already slim odds that the Eagles would win the division, as they would be at 1%. However, that would increase their chances of qualifying for the playoffs, from 35% to 40%.
In the form of a graph:
|Odds for the Eagles playoffs||Currently||Cowboys win||WFT victory|
|Winning the division||4%||1%||8%|
|Make the playoffs, at all||35%||40%||31%|
Beggars cannot choose. I think the ideal outcome is for the Cowboys to win and the Eagles’ chances of making the playoffs improve.
First, let’s update the generic race:
|NFC wildcard||Registration||Recording of the conf||FR|
|Rams (5 seeds)||8-4||5-2||–|
|Football team (6 seeds)||6-6||5-3||–|
|49ers (7 seeds)||6-6||5-5||–|
The Vikings defeated the Steelers in Thursday Night Football, which caused the Vikings to overtake the Eagles in the hunt for jokers.
Looking ahead to Sunday’s games, the Eagles don’t really have to worry about the Panthers, Saints or Falcons anymore, as (a) they’ve beaten those three teams, and (b) the Eagles also have a better record of conference than all three in the event of a three-way tie. They should be rooted against any team with six or more wins. This would include the following games, with the ideal winners in bold:
- 49ers to Bengals
- Rams at Cardinals
And really, the Rams ‘game doesn’t matter much, as the Eagles’ chances of catching them are extremely slim. But certainly, this Niners-Bengals match is important, for two reasons:
â¢ The Niners lead the Eagles by half a game to the 7 seed, although they also hold the tiebreaker against the Birds thanks to the Niners’ Week 2 win over the Eagles.
â¢ The Bengals are looking to fend off the Colts for a wildcard spot, which is a nice transition to the AFC wildcard race …
Positioning the draft
As you know, the Eagles have first-round picks from the Dolphins and (quite possibly) the Colts in the 2022 NFL Draft. Both of those teams are goodbye this week, but there are still some relevant games to watch in this season. terms of positioning in the Eagles draft. Let’s watch the AFC wildcard race:
|AFC wildcard||Registration||Recording of the conf||FR|
|Chargers (5 seeds)||7-5||5-3||–|
|Bengals (6 seeds)||7-5||5-3||–|
|Bills (7 seeds)||7-5||5-5||–|
The Eagles don’t want the Colts or Dolphins to make the playoffs, so it’s ideal for all 7-5 teams and 6-6 teams to win this week, such as:
- Crows at brown
- Raiders at the chefs
- Lions at Broncos
- Giants at Chargers
- 49ers to Bengals (as shown above)
- Invoices at the buccaneers
And then of course, it’s better if the 8-4 Titans beat the Jaguars at all, but eliminate any hope that the Colts will win the AFC South.
â¢ Saints at Jets: The Saints are terrible and can only realistically pass the Eagles if the Eagles lose at least two more games. If the Eagles lose at least two more games, they don’t deserve to go to the playoffs anyway, so it’s best if the Saints win for a possible draft positioning against the Dolphins’ pick.
â¢ Falcons at Panthers: The Panthers have a tougher schedule than the Falcons, so it’s better if they win. Why? If they have the same record as the Dolphins at the end of the season, the Dolphins’ pick would be higher in draft order.
â¢ Seahawks to the Texans: The 4-8 Seahawks have a chance of catching the 6-7 Dolphins for draft positioning.
â¢ Bear at Packers: The Giants own the Bears’ first-round pick in 2022.
Bye: Eagles, Dolphins, Colts, Patri * ts
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